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Putin's Russia & Ukraine updates

NotADcotor

His most imperial galactic atheistic majesty.
Mar 8, 2017
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This looks like Ukraine are also targeting Crimea and rightfully so:

Ukraine strikes bridge linking Crimea to mainland in blow to Russia’s supply lines

I love this quote from some Russian scrub.
"He threatened to retaliate by targeting a bridge linking neighboring Moldova to NATO-member Romania: “A very serious response is coming very soon.”"
Yeah, that wouldn't cause all sorts of problems for Russia down the line.

Don't know why they didn't hit the Kersh bridge at the same time. Seems like a good time to do it.
 

bver_hunter

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Nov 5, 2005
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I know for a fact Ukraine's missiles and drone can easily strike anywhere
within Ukraine including Russian occupied territories. Sooner or later more
areas will be hit.
But taking out that bridge means that they may have plans with Crimea. Overall they are making in roads to retrieve their territories occupied by the Russian invasion!!
 
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NotADcotor

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1/ The Wagner Group is setting up its own military police force to enforce discipline in the occupied regions of Ukraine, even against Russian army troops, who it says are "boozing like pigs". It's currently seeking recruits among former law enforcement employees.




Although the guy behind the latter has been dead for years. A lot of the classics are dead but that's another story.
 

mandrill

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Aug 23, 2001
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I love this quote from some Russian scrub.
"He threatened to retaliate by targeting a bridge linking neighboring Moldova to NATO-member Romania: “A very serious response is coming very soon.”"
Yeah, that wouldn't cause all sorts of problems for Russia down the line.

Don't know why they didn't hit the Kersh bridge at the same time. Seems like a good time to do it.
Russia might have really beefed up their defences around Kersh.
 

DinkleMouse

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Jan 15, 2022
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From the BBC article:


Speaking first about the fighting in eastern Ukraine that began in 2014 after Russia's military intervention, Prigozhin said: "We were hitting them, and they were hitting us. That's how it went on for those eight long years, from 2014 to 2022. Sometimes the number of skirmishes would increase, sometimes decrease."
Let's see if the pro-Putin crowd still try to claim that the 14,000 deaths from 2014 until 2022 were all ethnic Russians being cleansed by Ukraine now that we have yet more people who were involved openly admitting it was Russia vs Ukraine even back then, and that this is an incredibly small number, albeit still tragic, of casualties for a police action let alone a supposed genocide.

On 24 February [2022] there was nothing extraordinary happening there. Now the Ministry of Defence is trying to deceive the public, deceive the president and tell a story that there was some crazy aggression by Ukraine, that - together with the whole Nato bloc - Ukraine was planning to attack us.
I don't know why people still think Ukraine was somehow a lynchpin to a NATO invasion. The biggest threat to Russia vis à vis NATO wasn't Ukraine, it was Finland. And it was Russia's actions that caused Finland, the most civil defense oriented nation outside North Korea, to abandon neutrality and join NATO. US and other NATO powers have ICBMs and cruise missiles in the Mach 23-24 range, and have since the 60s. From a US sub in the black sea or a British missile destroyer in the North Sea to Moscow is under 6 minutes. Ukraine has no strategic value to NATO. Even for conventional war, Finland and Poland are far better jumping off points. But then people with understanding or experience with military intelligence don't understand these things.

"The war was needed... so that Shoigu could become a Marshal, so that he could get a second Hero Star… the war wasn't for demilitarising or de-nazifying Ukraine. It was needed for an extra star."
What???? The descendant of Jewish Holocaust survivors didn't need to be denazified afterall???? Mind you, coming from Prigozhin that could just mean Ukraine didn't need to be denazified because he's a Nazi and is perfectly happy to have Nazis everywhere, but who knows.
 

NotADcotor

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Mar 8, 2017
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Russia might have really beefed up their defences around Kersh.
They claimed to have beefed up defenses last time they took the bridge down.
ALso with the recent bridge attack, apparently the missile was being tracked, there was anti air nearby but surprise surprise it didn't work.

They are going to want to finish that bridge like a wobbly Mortal Combat character, send multiples if they have to, make bridge go boom.
 
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mandrill

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NotADcotor

His most imperial galactic atheistic majesty.
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From the BBC article:
...
I don't know why people still think Ukraine was somehow a lynchpin to a NATO invasion. The biggest threat to Russia vis à vis NATO wasn't Ukraine, it was Finland.
If we are talking about a threat, I'd say a country that is a defense juggernaught mostly next to harsh lands with minimal population [except for Leningrad* which is also pretty close to Estonia ] is not as much of a threat as Ukraine with a long border of very invadeable clay. Yes An invasion can be launched from Finland, but if I had to choose, I'd rather go in through Ukraine.

Of course the idea that NATO has even the remotest interest in invading Russia proper is utter special needs Trumpian bullshit. If anyone would like to have a go at Russia it's China as there are some old land claims I am sure Winnie the Pooh wouldn't mind making a big deal out of since Taiwan doesn't seem like it's going to happen. They won't because nukes, but if say John Wick was convinced that Russian planed to nuke his dog...

[*yes I'm old as fuck, the ambassador of the Congo Free State made fun of me for this at the Prussian Consulate in Siam]
 
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PeteOsborne

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Feb 12, 2020
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kingston
They claimed to have beefed up defenses last time they took the bridge down.
ALso with the recent bridge attack, apparently the missile was being tracked, there was anti air nearby but surprise surprise it didn't work.

They are going to want to finish that bridge like a wobbly Mortal Combat character, send multiples if they have to, make bridge go boom.
Last time was a truck bomb.
Ukraine currently has no missiles to hit the Kerch bridge.
The current range from the nearest Ukrainian held land is 260 KM while the longest range weapon they have is the storm shadow with a range of 250 KM, plus you would never put these missile launchers directly on the front line.
This is why they need ATACMS with ranges up to 300 KM
 

DinkleMouse

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Jan 15, 2022
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If we are talking about a threat, I'd say a country that is a defense juggernaught mostly next to harsh lands with minimal population [except for Leningrad* which is also pretty close to Estonia ] is not as much of a threat as Ukraine with a long border of very invadeable clay. Yes An invasion can be launched from Finland, but if I had to choose, I'd rather go in through Ukraine.
OK. I mean, you're wrong. It's really that simple. Ukraine being in NATO actually makes things harder, not easier. You only need to look at two things to figure out why Finland is a major asset and Ukraine is actually a liability:

1. Carpathians
2. Murmansk
 

Valcazar

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Mar 27, 2014
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Let's see if the pro-Putin crowd still try to claim that the 14,000 deaths from 2014 until 2022 were all ethnic Russians being cleansed by Ukraine now that we have yet more people who were involved openly admitting it was Russia vs Ukraine even back then, and that this is an incredibly small number, albeit still tragic, of casualties for a police action let alone a supposed genocide.
I've never understood that talking point because it was such obviously nonsense.
No one was reporting that the 14,000 were all on one side.
No one.
But pro-Putin babblers kept repeating it and even pointing to the sources that contradicted them.

Just not serious people.

I don't know why people still think Ukraine was somehow a lynchpin to a NATO invasion. The biggest threat to Russia vis à vis NATO wasn't Ukraine, it was Finland.
Ukraine joining the EU, fixing some of its corruption issues, and basically getting a better standard of living by not sticking with Russia was the threat. As you say, from a military point of view, Finland was the bigger NATO issue.

Look, it is silly to pretend that NATO enlargement and what it meant about Russia's declining power wasn't a factor in why Russia acts the way it does.
But that was a cultural issue more than a military one. (All those former subjects desperate to flee join up with NATO. The inability for Russia to just stamp its foot and prevent it happening. Etc.)
It isn't like if that group was explicitly rejected by NATO and formed its own central european defense alliance that Russia would have been fine with it.

IR is full of complicated issues with multiple signals affecting one another.

But "This is all due to NATO and nothing else" is childish nonsense.
 

Frankfooter

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Apr 10, 2015
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Leimonis

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Feb 28, 2020
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No NO NO NO!!!!!

Nato bribed and paid off Prigozhin! Damn western bastards!!!!!
Hopefully tucker Carlson will bring the traitors to justice!
 

mandrill

monkey
Aug 23, 2001
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If we are talking about a threat, I'd say a country that is a defense juggernaught mostly next to harsh lands with minimal population [except for Leningrad* which is also pretty close to Estonia ] is not as much of a threat as Ukraine with a long border of very invadeable clay. Yes An invasion can be launched from Finland, but if I had to choose, I'd rather go in through Ukraine.

Of course the idea that NATO has even the remotest interest in invading Russia proper is utter special needs Trumpian bullshit. If anyone would like to have a go at Russia it's China as there are some old land claims I am sure Winnie the Pooh wouldn't mind making a big deal out of since Taiwan doesn't seem like it's going to happen. They won't because nukes, but if say John Wick was convinced that Russian planed to nuke his dog...

[*yes I'm old as fuck, the ambassador of the Congo Free State made fun of me for this at the Prussian Consulate in Siam]
Czarist super villain, Count Ignatieff browbeat the Chinese Emperor into signing over to Russia the lands north of the Amur River in 1860 on the pretext that he would help get the British and French out of Peking (which they had occupied because the Chinese objected to the opium trade!)

Ignatieff took the deal back to the Czar and did fuck-all to evict the other Europeans. It's still a sore point in China.
 
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