Would you say the Baltimore Orioles recent rebuild was a success?
2025 MLB Team payrolls
Don't judge the Orioles by this season. They have tons of young, controllable cheap talent. It's unfortunate that most of them are having bad seasons at the same time. I expect them to dump their expiring contracts, and fill pitching needs at the deadline, or in the offseason. They'll also get a blue chip first round pick next July.
What do the Blue Jays have to trade, if they are buyers at the deadline? I can't think of much. In the meantime, I expect the Texas Rangers and the Seattle Mariners to be buyers. If the Jays stand pat, they'll be passed in the standings. The Yankees, Tigers, Rays and Astros are all better teams than the Jays. The Red Sox might also be in the mix. The Jays can realistically hope to finish somewhere between fifth and eighth in the AL. To me, that's like when a Canadian wins the wood medal at the Olympics. Canada is usually happy when they're fourth best at something.
I don't think that trying to be a Wild card team leads to any real success. Keep in mind that Rogers doesn't have TV rights after the Wild Card round, so getting into the post season is profitable, but advancing into the rounds that count costs more than it yields.
The two AL teams which 'get it' the best are the Rays and the Astros. What those two teams have in common is that they move talent when the future cost will exceed the future performance. They know how to contend and rebuild at the same time.
You build a contender with young and inexpensive high upside players, then add free agents to fill specific needs. The Blue Jays do the opposite; they put most of their eggs into a few baskets, then fill half of the roster with 'guys named Raoul'.
Once the A's move to Las Vegas, it's going to get a lot worse for Toronto, because they'll drop another spot on the 'preferred destination' list.