Report: Hezbollah coup if Nasser Falls

[basketcase]

This is an interesting report on Hezbollah's contingency plans for the potential loss of one of their backers. It states that in the event of Assad falling, Hezbollah troops will take over part of Beirut (like they did in their partial coup in 2008) and possibly extend it to an all out takeover of the government.

The reasoning is that without Syrian support, Hezbollah will lose access to direct support from Syria as well as the transhipment routes for their Iranian arms.

The potential that Hezbollah is worrying about is that without serious backing, the Lebanese army might actually have the ability to disarm this non-state actor (which has been the expectation from the UN for a long time).

Lebanon is close to becoming a functional democracy and the removal of these militias would help it along the way.

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4151677,00.html

 

[scouser1]

When I first read the heading I was like Nasser has been dead for like 40 years lol but anyways this story is Saudi fantasy nonsense,Hezballah are opportunistic and not stupid,they would be facing a united Sunni/Druze/Kaateb along with the Lebanese Forces alliance, their only support would come from Auon's party, with their masters in Damascus gone, they would be committing political suicide.instead Nasrallah will probably congratulate the Syrian people and look forward to working with their new government,Arab brotherhood blah blah blah

Lebanon is nowhere near being a functional state, but a sectarian patchwork where the political masters refuse to change things. The second Lebanon stops being sectarian, it dissapears and becomes Syria.

 

[Aardvark154]

Basketcase do you mean Hassan Nasrallah? Otherwise who is Nasser?

 

[basketcase]

Sorry Assad, not Nasser.

I guess I need to stop reading history books and the newspaper at the same time.