When Trump said, “Never say never” in response to Carney stating that Canada is not for sale and never will be, Trump was referring to Smith in Alberta and Moe in Saskatchewan.I think you’re giving Trump a bit too much credit for strategic coherence here.
The idea that there’s some grand plan to fragment Canada or weaponize trade in a coordinated effort with Smith feels more like a Bond villain plot than the reality of a guy who often governs by impulse and cable news. Kudlow might be gone, sure but let’s not pretend he was some economic Yoda either. The man once said deficits don’t matter and then blinked while markets melted.
As for Smith, Trump likely doesn’t know her name, let alone care enough to backstop her on some master plan to balkanize the Canadian federation. If anything, she’s trying to ride his brand for her own domestic politics, not the other way around. Trump throws allies, enemies, and random interns under the bus depending on what he had for breakfast. Smith’s turn will come the moment she stops being useful to his narrative (or he hears she’s from Alberta and assumes that’s a suburb of Vermont).
Trump didn’t get elected to “make nice,” but he sure loves looking like a dealmaker. Carney gives him that opportunity. That’s why the gloom in Oshawa might start to lift and not because Trump got kinder, but because he's desperate for a win that doesn’t involve indictments or golf carts.
Did you catch his big announcement today? It looks like he's backing away and next it will be with China. Canada and Mexico will be fine with Carney's steady hand and knowing how to handle the POS called Trumputin.
I hope that you are right that Trump’s actions in his first 100 days in office was just an apparition and that he is reversing course now , but I don’t think so.
As for Carney, he needs a majority desperately and he can be toppled by Blanchet at anytime.
Canada, reccesion bound, is on a precipice with Trump, Smith, Blanchet and a precarious Carney minority government.
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