AOC explains exactly what Trump and Musk are doing

[Phil C. McNasty]

Or from that exact same site over the exact same time, his spread has gone from 2.6% positive to 1.8% positive, clearly trending down.

But, as I've said before, don't trust polls. Trust trends over multiple averages/multiple pollsters

Thats not really statistically significant.
Especially when polling companies have a tendency to under poll Trump
(remember Seltzer??)

 

[Valcazar]

Thats not really statistically significant.
Especially when polling companies have a tendency to under poll Trump
(remember Seltzer??)

Neither shift is statistically significant and I am sure RCP would agree with you.
RCP is showing a largely flat trend.
Others showing a slight decline.
Not a lot to see here.
The only thing that seems very consistent is anyone saying there is strong, surging support for Trump and his policies is lying.

As for the polling misses on Trump, they've been quite specifically tied to voting.
One thing Trump has consistently shown is that voters who are not normally likely voters will go an vote for Trump, which means models that try to take into account if someone is a likely voter underestimate his strength.

 

[Phil C. McNasty]

The only thing that seems very consistent is anyone saying there is strong, surging support for Trump and his policies is lying

Can only speak for myself, but I never said his support is surging, I merely said his support is still strong (which it is)

 

[Valcazar]

Can only speak for myself, but I never said his support is surging, I merely said his support is still strong (which it is)

Not even 50% doesn't really count as "strong" support unless you are grading on a curve, though.
His support is still roughly what it was, that's something I am pretty sure we can agree on.