Obama twice as likely to win as McCain

[fuji]

Latest numbers from Intrade:

Obama: 66.9%
McCain: 33.0%

RealClearPolitics: Obama 259, McCain 168, Toss up 116

Electoral Vote: Obama 338, McCain 185, Tie 15

That's a big <kaboom> for McCain.

 

[fuji]

Here is why:

Wisonsin toss-up -> Leaning Obama
Pennsylvania Toss-up -> Leaning Obama
Oregon Leaning Obama -> Solid Obama
Missouri Leaning McCain -> Toss up
Michigan Toss Up -> Leaning Obama

McCain is in free fall.

 

[johnhenrygalt]

But will Obama cover the spread? And what's the over/under on total votes cast?

 

[sailorsix]

and 10X as likely to be assassinated.

Americans, even a large group of the liberal ones, are quietly uncomfortable with the idea of a black leading them. It's like assuming that Pakistani men would ever accept a female leader ...it will never happen...they are threatened by the idea of a woman in power. White Yanks feel the same way about black dudes. End of story.

They are not sophisticated enough to deserve Barack.

Even Clint Eastwood as a Secret Service agent will not be able to keep him alive.

 

[El_Mariachi]

Umm...Benazir Bhutto was Pakistan's Prime Minister and she was a woman. And if you're rebuttal is that she got assassinated, sure, that did happen, but not while she was in power.

 

[fuji]

Umm...Benazir Bhutto was Pakistan's Prime Minister and she was a woman. And if you're rebuttal is that she got assassinated, sure, that did happen, but not while she was in power.

I was going to say.... and it's interesting to list some of the nations that have a better record of having women in powerful executive positions than the United States:

-- India
-- Pakistan
-- Phillipines
-- Argentina

One day the United States will catch up and be less sexist than those nations.

 

[WoodPeckr]

One day the United States will catch up and be less sexist than those nations.

Not if the 'Good Ole Boys' in the 400 Club have anything to say about that!...

 

[johnhenrygalt]

I was going to say.... and it's interesting to list some of the nations that have a better record of having women in powerful executive positions than the United States:

-- India
-- Pakistan
-- Phillipines
-- Argentina

One day the United States will catch up and be less sexist than those nations.

In all of those cases, didn't the woman leader ride the coattails of a man in her family? Hillary would have fit right in.

You left out the UK (Thatcher) and Israel (Meir).

 

[Aardvark154]

You left out the UK (Thatcher) and Israel (Meir).

Also Canada (Campbell), Dominica (Charles) and Nicaragua (Chamorro).

 

[johnhenrygalt]

There was also Russia (Catherine the Great) and Austria (Maria-Teresa).

 

[jwmorrice]

Germany (Merkel)

jwm

 

[profan69]

While Kim Campell was PM, she was never elected PM, so we cannot take credit for electing a woman

 

[fuji]

RealClearPolitics has updated -- now projecting 264 votes for Obama with 111 toss ups. If Obama can hold the states leaning his way he only needs to pick up ONE of Colorado, Montana, Indiana, Ohio, Virgnia, North Carolina, or Florida to clinch it. McCain has to win ALL of those.

Of course McCain has a month to try and turn this around but that is where it stands if there was a vote today.

 

[Don]

Umm...Benazir Bhutto was Pakistan's Prime Minister and she was a woman. And if you're rebuttal is that she got assassinated, sure, that did happen, but not while she was in power.

sailorsix is obviously not the sharpest tool in the box...