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The 2025 Toronto Blue Jays

The Oracle

Pronouns: Who/Cares
Mar 8, 2004
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I'm a fan of Arenado I certainly don't want to see him in pinstripes. But he does make sense for them.
More Yankee problems..Gerrit Cole is scheduled to have a MRI on his elbow.

He got hammered in his last start and reported having pain in his elbow.
 
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maurice93

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Mar 29, 2006
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Scherzer looking really good during the spring through 3 outings.

9 Innings, 3 hits, 0 Walks, 14 K's.

Of course its just spring, and one of the big questions is his health.
 

The Oracle

Pronouns: Who/Cares
Mar 8, 2004
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On the slopes of Mount Parnassus, Greece
"I know the business. I lowered the salary demands a bit, but I also lowered the number of years … I'm looking for 14 [years]. I would like 14, 15, even 20 if they give them to me, but doing it the right way.”

The decline usually starts after 32...So why would any team sign a player to term that would take them to the player's 40th year?
 
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tml

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Aug 10, 2011
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"I know the business. I lowered the salary demands a bit, but I also lowered the number of years … I'm looking for 14 [years]. I would like 14, 15, even 20 if they give them to me, but doing it the right way.”

The decline usually starts after 32...So why would any team sign a player to term that would take them to the player's 40th year?
Ask Bobby Bonilla.
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
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Toronto
"I know the business. I lowered the salary demands a bit, but I also lowered the number of years … I'm looking for 14 [years]. I would like 14, 15, even 20 if they give them to me, but doing it the right way.”

The decline usually starts after 32...So why would any team sign a player to term that would take them to the player's 40th year?
Nobody expects him to be worth the same money in 15 or 12 or even 10 years. They don't care. They sign them for the here and now and the increased revenue that a competitive team can bring. Give the team 5-8 years of peak performance and they'll have gotten their money's worth.

Look at all of the long term huge contract deals being done now. That's the way the business is currently conducted. And the way things are going, in 14 years, Vladdy's contract will be looking like peanuts.

Until there's a salary cap, there's no need to talk about what contracts are logical or not. We can see for ourselves that insanity reigns supreme.
 

The Oracle

Pronouns: Who/Cares
Mar 8, 2004
27,861
55,954
113
On the slopes of Mount Parnassus, Greece
Look at all of the long term huge contract deals being done now. That's the way the business is currently conducted. And the way things are going, in 14 years, Vladdy's contract will be looking like peanuts.

Until there's a salary cap, there's no need to talk about what contracts are logical or not. We can see for ourselves that insanity reigns supreme.
The average fan has been priced out of going to games for a while now....Great business model
 
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onomatopoeia

Bzzzzz.......Doink
Jul 3, 2020
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Nobody expects him to be worth the same money in 15 or 12 or even 10 years. They don't care. They sign them for the here and now and the increased revenue that a competitive team can bring. Give the team 5-8 years of peak performance and they'll have gotten their money's worth.

Look at all of the long term huge contract deals being done now. That's the way the business is currently conducted. And the way things are going, in 14 years, Vladdy's contract will be looking like peanuts.

Until there's a salary cap, there's no need to talk about what contracts are logical or not. We can see for ourselves that insanity reigns supreme.
Most of the really long baseball contracts don't work out well for the signing team. Either they end up stuck with an overpaid older player, or they have to eat a large portion of the remaining guaranteed money if they can find a taker.

Several of the players who fit one of these two scenarios, (Albert Pujols, Miguel Cabrera, Chris Davis, Prince Fielder, Joey Votto), were first basemen.

Imagine where the 2030 Blue Jays might be, if 10% of their salary budget for the following ten seasons was going to the Yankees, to pay part of Vlad's feed bill.
 
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shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
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The average fan has been priced out of going to games for a while now....Great business model
Uhmm. Have you looked at the price of Leafs tickets?

News flash Sir Auricle, the average fan is being priced out of every single major league sport regardless of the business model. So singling out baseball's model is being myopic.

As I said, I believe they need a salary cap, but until then, this this is the reality of baseball salaries. Pony up or deal with mediocrity. The Jays have among the deepest pockets in baseball so who gives a fuck if they're overpaying a 38 year old?
 

maurice93

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Mar 29, 2006
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Vladdy's ask of just below $600M was way outside of market for a first baseman. I don't blame the Jays for not biting. At the same time, as I mentioned before I think part of Vlad's big ask was that he wanted to be on a contender, and the Jays have yet to prove it (now that part I blame on Toronto management) So he threw out a huge number which is understandable. I don't think he gets that figure on that open market in winter 2025, but now of course the risk is you are competing against 3 or 4 other teams.

You can't just throw away 2022 and 2023 as if they have never happened and only look at the great (2021 and 2024) He is not at the level of a Judge, Soto, or Ohtani who have been far more consistent)
 
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maurice93

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IMHO, the price of Leaf tickets and the price of Jay tickets are totally different!! The Leafs aren't going to sign Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner to contracts until their 38 yrs old.....LMAO
Matthews will very likely get an 8 year deal (the max in the NHL) through the age of 39.

Matthews third contract will very likely be an 8 year deal that takes him to 39.
That was the reason he signed the current 4 year bridge.
 
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shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
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IMHO, the price of Leaf tickets and the price of Jay tickets are totally different!! The Leafs aren't going to sign Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner to contracts until their 38 yrs old.....LMAO
They're exactly the same. They're both way more expensive sports to watch than they used to be mainly because of skyrocketting salaries. And it's the same in every other sport. There is no business model in any sport that has prevented this from happening.

Don't kid yourself, teams in hockey will be offering long term superstar contracts if they want and need to retain those players.
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
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IMHO, the Jays would be totally "dumb" to sign Vladdy to a 14 yr contract!!
They would be totally dumb to let a homegrown superstar who wants to remain here walk away when there will be "dumb" offers like that from a handful of other teams.

Do you think that having empty seats is smart?
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
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Several of the players who fit one of these two scenarios, (Albert Pujols, Miguel Cabrera, Chris Davis, Prince Fielder, Joey Votto), were first basemen.
But they paid value for their contracts over the term of their contracts in the years that they were producing. The teams are not stupid. They need to pay for their golden years to get their prime years. And the agents know it as well. The more players you name, the more it proves that this is the current business model. It is not a secret to anyone.
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
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Vladdy is not worth it to the Jays to sign a 14 yr contract. Vladdy's "heavy' body type will make the Jays lucky to get two more yrs out of him!! That is if the Jays sign him, after this season?? It's like in Pro tennis. Milos Raonic and Bianca Andreescu had to retire from Pro tennis because both their body types weren't conducive to playing pro tennis, for the long term!! When Milos was playing, he was always getting injured!!

Bianca had one awesome year in 2019, when she won the US open and Indian Wells, but then she's never been the same since. Bianca has been injured ever since, because of her "heavy set" body type, compared to other women elite pro tennis players!!
You talk about Vladdy as if it's a certainty that he will revert to his old self. The undeniable fact is that he's improved his conditioning every year. All you have is non-factual speculation about his regimen. Milos and Bianca never got a chance to play 1st base or DH. Tennis is way more demanding physically. Raducanu is not fat and has had multiple injuries. Juan Martin del Potro is/was not fat. Tennis and baseball are totally different animals. You must agree because you didn't list any baseball players.

I mentioned it before and you didn't address it. He reveres his father, a proud Hall of Famer. Do you think Vladdy doesn't care about his father's legacy and living up to it. He wants nothing more than to make his father proud. You cannot just ignore that as a major part of his motivation.

Do you think he'd rather eat than join his father in the Hall? Or as long as he signs a big contract his father won't give a shit about how Vladdy performs after that?
 

shack

Nitpicker Extraordinaire
Oct 2, 2001
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That is if Vladdy doesn't get injured after 2-3 more yrs. Then the Jays are left , "holding the bag."
2 points make this a very silly post.

1) That is the exact same situation for every player on every team.

2) Since his first year opening the regular season on Toronto's MLB roster (2020), Guerrero has missed just 12 regular-season games.

LOLOLOLOLOL. You are grasping at speculative straws. Maybe better do some retweeting in the Politics Forums.
 
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