no you keep hearing about insurance companies raising premiums because of climate change propaganda , however they still underwrite policies
What the IPCC Actually Says About Extreme Weather
I promise, you'll be utterly shocked
Roger Pielke Jr.
Jul 19, 2023
I promise, you'll be utterly shocked
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
Back to extreme weather — let’s take a look what IPCC AR6 says about the time of emergence for various extreme events. Here are some
direct quotes related to specific phenomena:
- An increase in heat extremes has emerged or will emerge in the coming three decades in most land regions (high confidence)
- There is low confidence in the emergence of heavy precipitation and pluvial and river flood frequency in observations, despite trends that have been found in a few regions
- There is low confidence in the emergence of drought frequency in observations, for any type of drought, in all regions.
- Observed mean surface wind speed trends are present in many areas, but the emergence of these trends from the interannual natural variability and their attribution to human-induced climate change remains of low confidence due to various factors such as changes in the type and exposure of recording instruments, and their relation to climate change is not established. . . The same limitation also holds for wind extremes (severe storms, tropical cyclones, sand and dust storms).
The IPCC has concluded that
a signal of climate change has not yet emerged beyond natural variability for the following phenomena:
- River floods
- Heavy precipitation and pluvial floods
- Landslides
- Drought (all types)
- Severe wind storms
- Tropical cyclones
- Sand and dust storms
- Heavy snowfall and ice storms
- Hail
- Snow avalanche
- Coastal flooding
- Marine heat waves
Furthermore, the emergence of
a climate change signal is not expected under the extreme RCP8.5 scenario by 2100 for any of these phenomena, except heavy precipitation and pluvial floods and that with only medium confidence. Since we know tha
t RCP8.5 is extreme and implausible, that means that there would even less confidence in emergence under a more plausible upper bound, like RCP4.5