The choice is yours.....pick your poison.....alienencounters said:Hmmmm....... who to believe......
Worth a thousand words: http://www.yahoo.com/s/548831danmand said:Priceless: Mamoud requests that Blair refrains from punishing the
british soldiers because they told the truth about entering iranian waters.
This still doesn't square with why RN 'field grade' officers and other RN marines among the 15, would confess to being in Iranian waters in less than 24 hours of captivity!Aardvark154 said:Worth a thousand words: http://www.yahoo.com/s/548831
Actually, I didn't find that deal at all astonishing, I actually expected something like it, BECAUSE the Iranians held all the cards and they obviously had a plan from the beginning; which we can be sure was not to imprison 15 British seamen for seven years, nor was it to provoke war with Britain. What then?danmand said:Not at all, that will just prove that they are being forced to say that by the Royal Navy. LOL
What is more amazing, is that the british (and the US) made a deal
to exchange the iranian detainees with the british detainees.
Sober up enough to take that bet?Mcluhan said:Actually, I didn't find that deal at all astonishing, I actually expected something like it, BECAUSE the Iranians held all the cards and they obviously had a plan from the beginning; which we can be sure was not to imprison 15 British seamen for seven years, nor was it to provoke war with Britain. What then?
The captives had value as bargaining chips, but only if the chips were used before their value timed-out. They rigged the game from the start (it now seems) with an objective in mind, and then played everyone skillfully to that end gain.
Timing is everything. Ahmadinejad's 'gift' finale was a masterful stroke of using the media to built the scene up to a crescendo, gaining the maximum benefit from an engineered spectacle and then in what seems in hindsight like a perfect moment, he laid the winning hand on the table and claimed the prize.
The very last thing (IMHO) the Brits wanted was to have to take action militarily to save face. That was not in the cards and the Iranians had calculated that correctly into the bargain leveraging Britain's need to save face brilliantly.
The fact that the Brits are allowing their sailors to sell their stories to the media, if it weren't so truly British, would be the most bizarre scene of all the theatrics, but its really just the perfect icing on the cake.
As an aside, I think the more of his personality Ahmadinejad injects into this clash between 'we' and 'they', the better the Iranians will fare. So far, he seems to be doing an excellent job of it.
Honestly I have to say at the moment I wouldn't comfortably betting one way or the other. While there is no doubt in my mind your crazies want to be real men and expand the conflict into a real war, and have geared toward it, I wonder now if they can pull it off. The opposing school of thought buys into the brinkmanship argument. Perhaps they cannot face the reality. Whatever the argument, the potential energy for war is increasing daily and the flash point can occur in so many different ways.onthebottom said:Sober up enough to take that bet?
OTB
Many people in the US see this role reversal also, where many around the world view the USA as the USSR was viewed in the past and want no part of it.Mcluhan said:your crazies want to be real men and expand the conflict into a real war......
The report i heard yesterday stated that over 50% of the population of Iran is certain they are soon going to be bombed with nukes by the US. Those days, the villain in the global drama was Russia of course, the evil Communists. These days its the US, the evil Capitalists; at least for some 80 million human beings, people no different than myself in all the ways that count.
Barack Obama said something that really struck me last night, when he was chatting with David Letterman.WoodPeckr said:Many people in the US see this role reversal also, where many around the world view the USA as the USSR was viewed in the past and want no part of it.
Remember policy of the team 'w' 'crazies' represents a very small minority in the USA. About 80% oppose the war mongering, fear promoting paranoia of Team 'w'.
Exactly!danmand said:When I grew up, the USA was the beacon of freedom and hope for the world.
That is the reason we react so strongly against the current behaviour.
Although I would not only blame GWB. The downward slide has been noticeable for a long time, with the US supporting dictators all over the world and assasinating popular leaders. But I think that most people uip until a decade ago was willing to give the US the benefit of doubt. Not anymore.WoodPeckr said:Exactly!
I remember those days also!
Back then we used to be the 'good guys'!
Sadly Team 'w' reversed all that in a few short years!.....![]()
If you go back you will note that most of those things happened during GOP administrations, they were the one's that created/spawned most of these problems, Reagan and both Bushs going back to 1980.danmand said:Although I would not only blame GWB. The downward slide has been noticeable for a long time, with the US supporting dictators all over the world and assasinating popular leaders. But I think that most people uip until a decade ago was willing to give the US the benefit of doubt. Not anymore.
Now the VP shoots his friends in the face. And who would have thought the US would embrace the concept of preventive war.
totally agree....the israelis, if they're convinced of an imminent attack, will nuke the 'persians'.frasier said:There is no way that the US will ever bomb Iran..BTW I am taking bets on that.
Now the Israelis might be a different story.
That probably was the plan this time around!FOOTSNIFFER said:totally agree....the israelis, if they're convinced of an imminent attack, will nuke the 'persians'.
Well things SELDOM, if EVER goes the way Team 'w' plans them ..... no?.....onthebottom said:This was started on September 24th...... what predictive skills.
But now my Clinton thread is only the second most views on the first page
OTB
Looks hopeful at this point in time but we are not out of the woods yet.enduser1 said:April 30, is past. No bombing. Looks like Bush has been contained. If Olmert gets booted Israel will stop pushing. Tony Blair is gone in 7 days. EU
Cheney 'is' going to bomb Iran. He has to, he can, and therefore he will. Its his mandate from above and he has the power, despite this theater we witness by the dems who are self-neutered. Its that simple. There is talk of Generals resigning if the exec command is given. I don't believe for one second they will stand in the way. For one, it will happen quickly, the media will be playing catch up. generals resigning will be mute, and for sure they won't be navy commanders. there is an eager second in command, always. Again, this is more show.WoodPeckr said:Looks hopeful at this point in time but we are not out of the woods yet.
Who knows what 'Tonkin Gulf incident' is being concocted as a pretext to kick off attacks on Iran......