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Carney ready to fold?: PM Carney to discuss trade at White House next week

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
102,199
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See, that's the biggest problem. Carney is playing that game. It's the only reason he waited so long to drop the USMCA tariffs. It's also why he shadow dropped widescale exemptions to tariffs without announcing it. He needed the APPEARANCE of standing up to Trump without the full economic damage of doing so, just to appease his base.

The problem is Trump operates on optics. So even though Canada's retaliation was de facto minimal, Trump took massive umbrage to it. If Carney had come into power and immediately sought to reverse the damage Trudeau did with Trump, a deal could have been accomplished by now. Instead, we've had tens of billions of economic fallout and tens of thousands of lost jobs. If Carney continues to play this game, he won't have the maneuverability to actually get a deal done.
Deals are worthless with trump, he won't honour them or even complete them.
Its best just to wait him out.

 

rhuarc29

Well-known member
Apr 15, 2009
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You are assuming that these so called "understandings" have real meaning to Trump. Most of them are face savers, others are only as good as Trump's word, and still others are stop gap lies by both sides while the usual years long negotiations occur.
There were two options for dealing with Trump's economic agenda. Either the majority of the world stood up to him and imposed widescale tariffs on American goods (something that didn't happen), or give Trump an optics win that isn't actually binding in an attempt to stall the damage. Many countries opted for the latter. These nebulous "frameworks" allow Trump to claim a win, before anything has actually been won, and meanwhile stave off the worst for the countries involved.

Canada was stupid in that we imposed retaliatory tariffs as if we had enough leverage on our own to actually accomplish something. This is the same kind of delusional thinking that leads us to pursue massive green energy projects that drain our coffers, but don't actually make a meaningful difference. Sorry folks, but Canada makes up just 2% of global GDP and 1.5% of emissions. We don't have the market share to drastically impact these things globally on our own.
 

rhuarc29

Well-known member
Apr 15, 2009
9,738
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Deals are worthless with trump, he won't honour them or even complete them.
Its best just to wait him out.
I actually agree somewhat. Trump won't abide by them. But...by giving him an optics win, we could have avoided the full economic fallout and stall things out.
 

richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
18,006
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See, that's the biggest problem. Carney is playing that game. It's the only reason he waited so long to drop the USMCA tariffs. It's also why he shadow dropped widescale exemptions to tariffs without announcing it. He needed the APPEARANCE of standing up to Trump without the full economic damage of doing so, just to appease his base.

The problem is Trump operates on optics. So even though Canada's retaliation was de facto minimal, Trump took massive umbrage to it. If Carney had come into power and immediately sought to reverse the damage Trudeau did with Trump, a deal could have been accomplished by now. Instead, we've had tens of billions of economic fallout and tens of thousands of lost jobs. If Carney continues to play this game, he won't have the maneuverability to actually get a deal done.
Tell that to the liberals here who thinks the way to a better economy is just fight Trump. They actually rejoice Carney bypassing the US and deal with Mexico (dumbest take). Deal with Europe without US...
 

richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
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Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
102,199
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Nobody is cheering.. you on the other hand rejoice when Carney fights Trump instead of dealing with him...to avoid tariffs...delusional as usual.the
You're not cheering anymore!

Woah, trump's end is coming if he's lost terb's biggest orange ass kisser!

rich 28.gif
 
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silentkisser

Master of Disaster
Jun 10, 2008
4,674
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There were two options for dealing with Trump's economic agenda. Either the majority of the world stood up to him and imposed widescale tariffs on American goods (something that didn't happen), or give Trump an optics win that isn't actually binding in an attempt to stall the damage. Many countries opted for the latter. These nebulous "frameworks" allow Trump to claim a win, before anything has actually been won, and meanwhile stave off the worst for the countries involved.

Canada was stupid in that we imposed retaliatory tariffs as if we had enough leverage on our own to actually accomplish something. This is the same kind of delusional thinking that leads us to pursue massive green energy projects that drain our coffers, but don't actually make a meaningful difference. Sorry folks, but Canada makes up just 2% of global GDP and 1.5% of emissions. We don't have the market share to drastically impact these things globally on our own.
I agree with your first part, not so much with the second. While we are very dependent on US trade, the reality is that the US needs our raw materials and what not. We've always focused on trading with them due to convenience, I mean, it's literally a few hours drive for most Ontario-based manufacturers to the US, and we have a very integrated rail and trucking system.

But, that being said, Trump has killed any faith we have in the US being a stable trading partner going forward. I mean, even if he were to drop dead tomorrow, the fact that the US could elect someone so unprepared or literate enough to understand global trade (or, really, not understand it) means that we cannot rely on the US. That is why Carney is working on deals to make closer ties with Europe, Asia and Africa (and South America, I guess).

Here's the thing though: Those trade deals will not be done overnight. It will take time. I know some folks on here think that any deal made is a failure. And, it could be. But, at the same time, it could just be a stalling tactic that will act as a placeholder until other international deals are solidified.

And, here is something else to consider: Say we allow more US access to our dairy market. What are the odds that in this day and age Canadians would buy American? I mean, there was a fairly large quota the US could use to send dairy north...but they've never come close to reaching that amount. So, increasing the quota might mean absolutely nothing but give the appearance that Trump gained some concessions from Carney.

Finally, I haven't really been following this thread, but I would like to point out the BS coming from PP regarding this stuff. He seems to think that he would have been able to have fixed the trade dispute with Trump months ago...with absolutely no evidence. He mocks Canadians for voting for "elbows up," yes he has not shown any backbone to the US. So, what would HE have Canada give up to make a deal? He's pretty quiet on that front. Now, in fairness, I honestly do not think PP would do anything that would hurt our economy (well....I'm 85% sure), but I'm also 100% sure he would likely be in the same space as Carney right now. Maybe below, because I'm not sure he'd be able to work with Europe as effectively.
 

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
25,682
3,756
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i do not recall Pierre ever going on strike, with holding services from children to get more $
so no, not like Pierre Poilievre
He did get fired for terrible performance and filed a grievance in AB to get reinstated all while staying firmly attached to the tax payers teat.
 

DesRicardo

aka Dick Dastardly
Dec 2, 2022
4,151
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See, that's the biggest problem. Carney is playing that game. It's the only reason he waited so long to drop the USMCA tariffs. It's also why he shadow dropped widescale exemptions to tariffs without announcing it. He needed the APPEARANCE of standing up to Trump without the full economic damage of doing so, just to appease his base.

The problem is Trump operates on optics. So even though Canada's retaliation was de facto minimal, Trump took massive umbrage to it. If Carney had come into power and immediately sought to reverse the damage Trudeau did with Trump, a deal could have been accomplished by now. Instead, we've had tens of billions of economic fallout and tens of thousands of lost jobs. If Carney continues to play this game, he won't have the maneuverability to actually get a deal done.
He used the Elbows Up slogan and 51st state BS to help win the election, but got caught in the back end.

Unfortunately, we the people suffer for it.

Now he wants to make fake budgets to excuse the escalating debt. This just keeps going in the wrong direction.
 

richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
18,006
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You're not cheering anymore!

Woah, trump's end is coming if he's lost terb's biggest orange ass kisser!

View attachment 493299
no one is cheering...it's pathetic how you think fighting US policies is the way to go...it's like saying Trump's peace proposal is bad...you want Israel and Gaza to keep fighting instead...
 
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nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
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no one is cheering...it's pathetic how you think fighting US policies is the way to go...it's like saying Trump's peace proposal is bad...you want Israel and Gaza to keep fighting instead...
Show me a ceasefire where Israel has actually ceased firing. 🤣🤣🤣
 

rhuarc29

Well-known member
Apr 15, 2009
9,738
1,472
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I agree with your first part, not so much with the second. While we are very dependent on US trade, the reality is that the US needs our raw materials and what not. We've always focused on trading with them due to convenience, I mean, it's literally a few hours drive for most Ontario-based manufacturers to the US, and we have a very integrated rail and trucking system.

But, that being said, Trump has killed any faith we have in the US being a stable trading partner going forward. I mean, even if he were to drop dead tomorrow, the fact that the US could elect someone so unprepared or literate enough to understand global trade (or, really, not understand it) means that we cannot rely on the US. That is why Carney is working on deals to make closer ties with Europe, Asia and Africa (and South America, I guess).

Here's the thing though: Those trade deals will not be done overnight. It will take time. I know some folks on here think that any deal made is a failure. And, it could be. But, at the same time, it could just be a stalling tactic that will act as a placeholder until other international deals are solidified.

And, here is something else to consider: Say we allow more US access to our dairy market. What are the odds that in this day and age Canadians would buy American? I mean, there was a fairly large quota the US could use to send dairy north...but they've never come close to reaching that amount. So, increasing the quota might mean absolutely nothing but give the appearance that Trump gained some concessions from Carney.

Finally, I haven't really been following this thread, but I would like to point out the BS coming from PP regarding this stuff. He seems to think that he would have been able to have fixed the trade dispute with Trump months ago...with absolutely no evidence. He mocks Canadians for voting for "elbows up," yes he has not shown any backbone to the US. So, what would HE have Canada give up to make a deal? He's pretty quiet on that front. Now, in fairness, I honestly do not think PP would do anything that would hurt our economy (well....I'm 85% sure), but I'm also 100% sure he would likely be in the same space as Carney right now. Maybe below, because I'm not sure he'd be able to work with Europe as effectively.
I agree with most of what you said. I absolutely think Canada needs to get a placeholder deal in with Trump while we take the time to diversify our trade. The only part I disagree with is the power balance between the U.S. and Canada. Although Trump does want Canadian raw materials, he has more leverage in this dispute than we do. By quite a margin. It's actually shocking to me just how successful Trump has been in being able to bully the world. I thought the EU in particular would give far more pushback. But Trump has successfully been able to leverage the world's strongest consumer market to achieve concessions for his country.

That said, he's vastly over representing the scope of those concessions, and downplaying some of the drawbacks, but that doesn't mean they're not there. Meanwhile, Canada is hurting. So we'll see how this talk goes today. Carney appears quite meek and diminished next to Trump, but he is saying the right things I think in an effort to get a placeholder deal.
 
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rhuarc29

Well-known member
Apr 15, 2009
9,738
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no one is cheering...it's pathetic how you think fighting US policies is the way to go...it's like saying Trump's peace proposal is bad...you want Israel and Gaza to keep fighting instead...
It'll be quite interesting if Trump actually manages to broker a peace between Israel and Gaza. It would likely be the single most groundbreaking peace deal this year (only overshadowed if Ukraine also finds peace), and it'd be an interesting debate over the Nobel Peace Prize, I'll tell you that!
 
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richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
18,006
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Trump and Carney meeting going on..."President Trump is a transformative president" - PM Carney...Like I said, appeasing the orangeman is the way to go in order to relieve pressure on the economy...stop fighting Trump, it doesn't end well for us...If Mark Carney can relinquish the relationship with the US...I'd be a big fan...
 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
18,954
4,304
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I agree with your first part, not so much with the second. While we are very dependent on US trade, the reality is that the US needs our raw materials and what not. We've always focused on trading with them due to convenience, I mean, it's literally a few hours drive for most Ontario-based manufacturers to the US, and we have a very integrated rail and trucking system.

But, that being said, Trump has killed any faith we have in the US being a stable trading partner going forward. I mean, even if he were to drop dead tomorrow, the fact that the US could elect someone so unprepared or literate enough to understand global trade (or, really, not understand it) means that we cannot rely on the US. That is why Carney is working on deals to make closer ties with Europe, Asia and Africa (and South America, I guess).

Here's the thing though: Those trade deals will not be done overnight. It will take time. I know some folks on here think that any deal made is a failure. And, it could be. But, at the same time, it could just be a stalling tactic that will act as a placeholder until other international deals are solidified.

And, here is something else to consider: Say we allow more US access to our dairy market. What are the odds that in this day and age Canadians would buy American? I mean, there was a fairly large quota the US could use to send dairy north...but they've never come close to reaching that amount. So, increasing the quota might mean absolutely nothing but give the appearance that Trump gained some concessions from Carney.

Finally, I haven't really been following this thread, but I would like to point out the BS coming from PP regarding this stuff. He seems to think that he would have been able to have fixed the trade dispute with Trump months ago...with absolutely no evidence. He mocks Canadians for voting for "elbows up," yes he has not shown any backbone to the US. So, what would HE have Canada give up to make a deal? He's pretty quiet on that front. Now, in fairness, I honestly do not think PP would do anything that would hurt our economy (well....I'm 85% sure), but I'm also 100% sure he would likely be in the same space as Carney right now. Maybe below, because I'm not sure he'd be able to work with Europe as effectively.

do you not get tired of the after taste from 24/7 liberal boot licking ?
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
102,199
28,971
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no one is cheering...it's pathetic how you think fighting US policies is the way to go...it's like saying Trump's peace proposal is bad...you want Israel and Gaza to keep fighting instead...
Its so sad that you are no longer cheering for trump, he can't have long left if his base is not happy.
Netanyahu got outplayed by Hamas, they said they'd return the hostages and now Netanyahu is trying to justify continuing the genocide.
Now Netanyahu is warning that 'Iran' might nuke Mar-a-Logo

 
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