C'mon Val, you're too smart.In what way?
The idea was underwater in August, less than 3 months ago.
" By nearly a two-to-one margin, voters prefer keeping an independent line-drawing panel to determine the state’s House seats, the latest POLITICO-Citrin Center-Possibility Lab survey found. Just 36 percent of respondents back returning congressional redistricting authority to state lawmakers. "
That link goes to the actual poll.
It wasn't remotely a foregone conclusion back when the California Dems were trying to bluff Texas into not going ahead with their plan.
The big Republican money didn't come in a major way to try to stop it. They knew a Ruby Red state would go for the redistricting proposition.
California Democrats once they were told the political stakes changed whatever reservations they had very quickly.
Speaking of smart money, here is Polymarkets probability odds.
California redistricting referendum passes?
Polymarket | Proposition 50 is a 2025 legislatively referred constitutional amendment on congressional redistricting, proposed for the statewide special elec...






